Number of electoral votes and the probability of a Democratic or Republican win in each state. Outlined states are most likely to give the winner their 270th Electoral College vote. Use the table ...

Use our "what-if" tool to pick a winner in each state and see how it would change 538's 2024 presidential election forecast.

With a debate and a second assassination attempt in the rearview mirror, the Harris-Trump contest is by any measure too close ...

It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. Click states on this interactive map to create your own 2024 election forecast. Create a specific match-up by clicking the ...

Find out who is leading the 2024 US election polls with real-time updates on polling data, key issues and swing states here ...

Dive into the weeds of our new Harris-Trump model. For 2024, 538 has built a new presidential election forecast model. This article explains how we did it: the ingredients that go into the ...

"what-if" interactive lets you pick the winner of each state and see how it would shift the range of outcomes in our 2024 presidential election forecast.

We’re less than 50 days out from the 2024 presidential election and for weeks, the polls have shown Vice President Kamala ...

When is Election Day 2024? The 2024 general election is Tuesday, November 5, 2024. When does early voting begin? Early voting in Texas begins on October 21, 2024. The last day of in-person early ...

You'll find all the latest results, maps, analysis and reaction about the General Election 2024 below. Reform UK's surge across Greater Manchester as Nigel Farage's party bags massive share of ...

Catholic numbers in battleground states make them a good weathervane, and indeed they tend to vote for the winner in presidential elections. If you win Catholics, you probably win the country.

Please try later. Please select an area on the map or try another postcode search. Note: This look up covers the election of Members of Parliament. There may be council by-elections where you are.