Use our "what-if" tool to pick a winner in each state and see how it would change 538's 2024 presidential election forecast.

With a debate and a second assassination attempt in the rearview mirror, the Harris-Trump contest is by any measure too close ...

It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. Click states on this interactive map to create your own 2024 election forecast. Create a specific match-up by clicking the ...

Dive into the weeds of our new Harris-Trump model. For 2024, 538 has built a new presidential election forecast model. This article explains how we did it: the ingredients that go into the ...

"what-if" interactive lets you pick the winner of each state and see how it would shift the range of outcomes in our 2024 presidential election forecast.

Find out who is leading the 2024 US election polls with real-time updates on polling data, key issues and swing states here ...

When is Election Day 2024? The 2024 general election is Tuesday, November 5, 2024. When does early voting begin? Early voting in Texas begins on October 21, 2024. The last day of in-person early ...

Everything you need to know about the 2024 presidential election, from updated odds and predictions to the latest polls and ...

Odds for Donald Trump winning the presidential election have changed significantly after his first debates. Where he stands ...

After running neck-and-neck with Trump, Harris is ahead in all polls now, according to realclearpolling.com. Harris enjoys a ...

You'll find all the latest results, maps, analysis and reaction about the General Election 2024 below. Reform UK's surge across Greater Manchester as Nigel Farage's party bags massive share of ...

Catholic numbers in battleground states make them a good weathervane, and indeed they tend to vote for the winner in presidential elections. If you win Catholics, you probably win the country.